Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000595 0.000676 0.000762 0.000860 0.000968 0.001082 0.001213
2025-12-28 0.000482 0.000597 0.000727 0.000884 0.001067 0.001273 0.001521
2026-01-04 0.000417 0.000548 0.000702 0.000896 0.001131 0.001404 0.001743
2026-01-11 0.000359 0.000498 0.000668 0.000889 0.001166 0.001498 0.001922
2026-01-18 0.000313 0.000455 0.000637 0.000880 0.001194 0.001579 0.002083
2026-01-25 0.000282 0.000429 0.000622 0.000888 0.001240 0.001682 0.002271
2026-02-01 0.000254 0.000402 0.000603 0.000889 0.001275 0.001770 0.002441
2026-02-08 0.000220 0.000365 0.000567 0.000862 0.001271 0.001805 0.002542
2026-02-15 0.000193 0.000334 0.000537 0.000841 0.001271 0.001844 0.002647
2026-02-22 0.000174 0.000313 0.000520 0.000836 0.001292 0.001910 0.002789
2026-03-01 0.000158 0.000296 0.000506 0.000834 0.001317 0.001980 0.002937
2026-03-08 0.000142 0.000276 0.000487 0.000823 0.001327 0.002030 0.003057
2026-03-15 0.000126 0.000256 0.000466 0.000809 0.001332 0.002073 0.003171
2026-03-22 0.000119 0.000251 0.000468 0.000830 0.001390 0.002193 0.003394
2026-03-29 0.000112 0.000243 0.000465 0.000842 0.001434 0.002293 0.003592
2026-04-05 0.000101 0.000229 0.000451 0.000835 0.001448 0.002351 0.003730
2026-04-12 0.000092 0.000215 0.000436 0.000827 0.001460 0.002404 0.003861
2026-04-19 0.000085 0.000208 0.000432 0.000834 0.001497 0.002494 0.004049
2026-04-26 0.000079 0.000199 0.000424 0.000835 0.001522 0.002568 0.004213
2026-05-03 0.000069 0.000182 0.000401 0.000810 0.001504 0.002575 0.004278
2026-05-10 0.000061 0.000169 0.000382 0.000790 0.001493 0.002592 0.004357
2026-05-17 0.000056 0.000160 0.000372 0.000785 0.001507 0.002647 0.004496
2026-05-24 0.000051 0.000153 0.000364 0.000783 0.001526 0.002710 0.004646